It'd be interesting to know how quickly (or slowly) the simulated expected value converges to the analytic expected value. I assume its 1,000,000 based off your previous posts - great posts btw.

So your simulated answer is off by 0.081% (2 sf) after 1,000,000 simulations. Welcome to the Diablo 2 drop calculator This is the most accurate drop calculator available for both Diablo 2 and Diablo 2 Resurrected. It will work on bosses like Nightmare though, or any boss where you just need to get each drop once and so I thought you may be interested in the analytic answer? Gives you something to shoot for in terms of number of simulations to produce very accurate curves.Īll this said, using the general Coupon Collector's formula, the expected kc for completion is 5,670.9. For instance, it would not work on something like hydra where you need to hit the ring piece drop chance 3 times, or demonic gorillas because you need to hit various items multiple times (4 zenytes, 2 monkey tails and so on). The formula comes from the generalised Coupon Collector's problem, so unlike your approach, it cannot be used on all drop tables in osrs because it cannot calculate expected values for multiple hits on specific items. Your technique is also more interesting from a data standpoint because you get the full curve rather than a just one number. Hey, I saw this when I wasn't at my computer and wanted to chime in a technique for calculating the expected completion kc analytically as a means to judge how many simulations you need to perform to get a very very accurate curve. Feel like sharing? Please censor names wherever possible. Report abuse in game and contact Jagex for serious issues. This is not the place to accuse players of wrongdoing. The rare drop table is shared by many monsters - examples are chaos druids, lesser demons, most Slayer monsters and the Kalphite Queen. This chance usually ranges from 1/16 to 1/64. When slain, some monsters have a chance to give loot from one of the rare drop tables instead of loot from their own unique drop table. For more information about account bans, click here. The rare drop table or RDT refers to two special drop tables of items. No 'Advice Animals' or other image macros. The body of your submission must be related to Old School RuneScape. The mods here at /r/2007scape aim to make this the number one place to have fun, meet friends, and create memories! Rules of the land Welcome to /r/2007scape, the place to discuss Old School RuneScape! Submit a link Submit a text post Submit a game suggestion

Nightmare mods drop table